UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 3-2
Grasshopper vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
TEP
0 - 2
GCZ
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
GCZ
2 - 0
TEP
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
NEX
1 - 0
GCZ
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
GCZ
1 - 0
YOB
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2006 |
SDL
0 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GEN
0 - 0
AND
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
KVC
0 - 1
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 2
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LOK
1 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |