UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 4-5
Grasshopper vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
GCZ
1 - 2
LAU
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SER
1 - 1
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 2
GCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
GCZ
6 - 1
STG
60%
20%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
SIO
2 - 1
GCZ
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FCP
4 - 1
BOA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 2
GCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 1
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |