Swiss Super League Title Play-off Round 5

Grasshopper vs Aarau analysis

Grasshopper Aarau
85 ELO 80
16% Tilt -2.5%
426º General ELO ranking 734º
11º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
68.4%
Grasshopper
18.7%
Draw
12.9%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
Grasshopper
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
Aarau
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grasshopper
-4%
-1%
Aarau

ELO progression

Grasshopper
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grasshopper
Grasshopper
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 1995
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
Grasshopper
GCZ
43%
26%
31%
85 80 5 0
12 Mar. 1995
GCZ
Grasshopper
4 - 2
Lausanne Sports
LAU
73%
17%
10%
85 75 10 0
05 Mar. 1995
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
35%
28%
38%
84 78 6 +1
26 Feb. 1995
GCZ
Grasshopper
4 - 1
Luzern
FCL
72%
17%
11%
83 72 11 +1
04 Dec. 1994
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
66%
20%
14%
82 77 5 +1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 1995
FCL
Luzern
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
35%
30%
35%
80 74 6 0
12 Mar. 1995
FCA
Aarau
3 - 3
FC Lugano
LUG
52%
26%
22%
80 79 1 0
05 Mar. 1995
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
46%
27%
28%
79 74 5 +1
26 Feb. 1995
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Basel
BAS
51%
25%
23%
78 77 1 +1
04 Dec. 1994
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
66%
20%
14%
77 82 5 +1