Grasse vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
GRA
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 0
FCM
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SCT
2 - 3
GRA
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 0
SCR
46%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 4
FAB
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
BER
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STA
3 - 1
FRE
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 1
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
FRE
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LEP
0 - 2
FRE
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |