Baiano 2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Grapiuna Itabuna vs Jequié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
JUA
1 - 2
GRA
71%
17%
11%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIT
20%
20%
59%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GRA
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
FLU
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Jequié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 2
JEQ
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
JEQ
1 - 0
JUA
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
JEQ
3 - 0
ADL
6%
13%
81%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
JEQ
17%
19%
65%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
JEQ
1 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |