Non League Div One Northern East Round 25

Grantham Town vs Dunston UTS analysis

Grantham Town Dunston UTS
26 ELO 41
-3.5% Tilt -14.3%
9826º General ELO ranking 7596º
414º Country ELO ranking 298º
ELO win probability
16.1%
Grantham Town
20%
Draw
63.9%
Dunston UTS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
Grantham Town
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.9%
Win probability
Dunston UTS
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grantham Town
+11%
+4%
Dunston UTS

Points and table prediction

Grantham Town
Their league position
Dunston UTS
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
20º
20º
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hebburn Town
81
84
100%
Stockton Town
80
80
100%
Dunston UTS
72
72
100%
Pontefract Collieries
70
70
100%
Carlton Town
65
65
100%
Newton Aycliffe
60
60
100%
Belper Town FC
57
57
38%
North Ferriby United
57
57
38%
Cleethorpes Town
56
56
58%
Liversedge
10º
51
55
10º
58%
Grimsby Borough
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Consett AFC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Sheffield FC
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Ashington AFC
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Stocksbridge Park Steels
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Bridlington Town
16º
36
36
16º
0%
Brighouse Town
17º
36
36
17º
16%
Ossett United
18º
35
35
18º
57%
Winterton Rangers FC
19º
35
35
19º
67%
Grantham Town
20º
34
34
20º
67%
Expected probabilities
Grantham Town
Dunston UTS
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
28% 0%
Relegation
72% 0%

ELO progression

Grantham Town
Dunston UTS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grantham Town
Grantham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
PON
Pontefract Collieries
1 - 0
Grantham Town
GRA
72%
17%
11%
25 36 11 0
03 Feb. 2024
GRA
Grantham Town
1 - 2
Grimsby Borough
GBO
29%
24%
47%
26 34 8 -1
30 Jan. 2024
DUN
Dunston UTS
1 - 1
Grantham Town
GRA
81%
13%
6%
26 42 16 0
27 Jan. 2024
BRI
Bridlington Town
2 - 2
Grantham Town
GRA
62%
21%
17%
26 33 7 0
13 Jan. 2024
STO
Stocksbridge Park Steels
2 - 2
Grantham Town
GRA
64%
20%
16%
26 34 8 0

Matches

Dunston UTS
Dunston UTS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
LIV
Liversedge
2 - 1
Dunston UTS
DUN
28%
23%
49%
43 33 10 0
03 Feb. 2024
DUN
Dunston UTS
4 - 1
Ashington AFC
ASH
58%
21%
21%
42 37 5 +1
30 Jan. 2024
DUN
Dunston UTS
1 - 1
Grantham Town
GRA
81%
13%
6%
42 26 16 0
27 Jan. 2024
DUN
Dunston UTS
0 - 0
Stockton Town
STO
42%
25%
33%
43 45 2 -1
24 Jan. 2024
CLE
Cleethorpes Town
1 - 3
Dunston UTS
DUN
25%
23%
52%
43 33 10 0