Gränichen vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 4
GRA
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
WOH
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 0
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LAN
6 - 1
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
GRA
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 3
SCH
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
MOU
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
AAR
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
MOU
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
BUM
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |