Grănicerul vs Cruiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
76.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
12º
12º
0
14º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCO
6 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 2
VCU
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 0
GRA
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 2
EFV
28%
22%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CFS
3 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CRU
7 - 2
CFR
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
4 - 2
CRU
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |