Grande-Synthe vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOI
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 1
SED
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AMI
3 - 1
GRA
38%
25%
36%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
ARR
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
OIS
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 2
BAS
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
RAC
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 4
BAS
28%
26%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |