Grande-Synthe vs Aulnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NOI
3 - 2
GRA
38%
27%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 1
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
AMI
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AUL
2 - 1
LIL
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SML
2 - 2
AUL
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AUL
2 - 2
AIL
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
IVR
2 - 1
AUL
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
2 - 1
AUL
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |