Grand Rapids vs Toledo Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MIC
1 - 2
GRF
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
SBL
1 - 2
GRF
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
KAL
2 - 1
GRF
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
FWA
1 - 1
GRF
26%
21%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
GRF
1 - 1
MIC
8%
14%
78%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Toledo Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TVF
1 - 4
KHA
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TVF
0 - 3
SBL
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
TVF
2 - 2
KAL
22%
20%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
TVF
1 - 3
FWA
45%
21%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
DAY
0 - 1
TVF
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |