Granada vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1981 |
AGD
1 - 0
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
GDE
3 - 2
GRA
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
GRA
1 - 1
AGD
61%
24%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
SAB
3 - 1
GRA
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
GRA
1 - 1
ELC
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1981 |
CON
2 - 0
RMC
23%
27%
49%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
RMC
1 - 0
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
RAY
2 - 0
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
GDE
1 - 1
RMC
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
RMC
2 - 1
AGD
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |