Granada vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
79.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
SEV
3 - 0
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
RAY
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
GET
2 - 2
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
VCF
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 2
GRA
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RMA
4 - 0
GET
92%
6%
2%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
16%
19%
65%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VCF
0 - 5
RMA
17%
20%
63%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
RMA
2 - 0
VCF
88%
9%
4%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |