Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 0-3
Granada vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
67%
18%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
FCB
4 - 1
GRA
89%
8%
4%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
GRA
1 - 0
VCF
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SEV
2 - 0
GRA
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
UDL
1 - 0
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
67%
18%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
RJA
0 - 2
OSA
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RJA
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
RJA
0 - 1
ATM
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
CEL
2 - 1
RJA
70%
17%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |