Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 7-3
Granada vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
MUR
4 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
GRA
2 - 0
MEL
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
GRA
0 - 1
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CPC
1 - 3
GRA
52%
22%
27%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
GRA
2 - 0
ALC
60%
21%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 2
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
HER
4 - 0
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 1
ORI
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 3
RJA
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 3
MLL
66%
18%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |