Gran Peña vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CAN
0 - 0
GRA
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
COM
0 - 1
GRA
90%
8%
3%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
GRA
2 - 1
LEM
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
GRA
2 - 1
PON
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CDO
9 - 0
ALO
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
CAU
0 - 1
CDO
27%
27%
47%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
CDO
2 - 1
SPB
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
TUR
0 - 4
CDO
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
CDO
1 - 1
ENS
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |