Gran Peña vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
ZEL
2 - 0
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
GRA
2 - 0
CHO
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ALO
1 - 3
GRA
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
GRA
0 - 0
VIV
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
LEM
3 - 0
GRA
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 4
LUG
60%
20%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SAN
2 - 2
CEL
33%
25%
43%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAR
84%
11%
6%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 2
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATO
75%
14%
10%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |