Gragnano vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 1
RAA
34%
24%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 0
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
GEL
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
NFR
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
ROC
49%
26%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 3
SIR
17%
23%
59%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ROC
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
REN
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |