Gragnano vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
GRA
23%
22%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
ASS
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAV
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
USC
0 - 0
GRA
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FCI
0 - 1
SIC
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POM
2 - 2
FCI
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FCI
1 - 0
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TUR
4 - 1
FCI
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FCI
1 - 0
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |