Grafičar vs Timok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FKZ
3 - 0
GRA
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
4 - 0
BAK
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAV
2 - 1
GRA
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 0
ZAR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
INI
5 - 3
GRA
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Timok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TIM
0 - 1
MAV
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ZAR
2 - 1
TIM
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
TIM
0 - 1
INI
17%
26%
57%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
JAV
2 - 0
TIM
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TIM
1 - 1
RAD
17%
26%
57%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |