De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 5
HEL
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 2
GRA
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
OSA
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ADO
3 - 5
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MVV
0 - 0
TEL
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MVV
2 - 0
FCO
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 3
MVV
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
KVC
2 - 1
MVV
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BVO
0 - 1
MVV
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |