De Graafschap vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
FEY
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
VIT
31%
24%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |