De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
PSV
8 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
GRO
3 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 1
RKC
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1995 |
FEY
2 - 0
GRA
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
UTR
3 - 3
WIL
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
UTR
1 - 1
SCH
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
1 - 4
PSV
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |