De Graafschap vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IJS
1 - 3
GRA
7%
14%
79%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 0
HEL
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
JON
1 - 1
GRA
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BVO
1 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 2
ALM
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 1
FCD
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
FCD
0 - 1
BVO
7%
15%
78%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCD
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FCD
0 - 1
MVV
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FCD
2 - 6
BOS
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |