De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 1
GRA
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
VOL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 2
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 3
GRA
16%
21%
63%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCD
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
0 - 5
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
VOL
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |