De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 2
GRA
17%
21%
62%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 0
EIN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
ALK
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 2
GRA
28%
24%
47%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 0
MVV
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 0
JUT
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
4 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
5 - 1
JON
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 0
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 3
RJC
62%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |