De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 3
JON
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 4
GRA
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 0
TEL
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
FCD
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
SPA
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |