De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AZA
4 - 1
GRA
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
BVO
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 0
TWE
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BVO
0 - 1
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |