De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
1 - 3
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJC
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRA
3 - 3
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 0
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 2
SLP
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VOL
1 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
HSV
0 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |