De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1999 |
FEY
0 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
RJC
2 - 3
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 5
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 2
VIT
21%
24%
56%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
MLL
2 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 2
RKC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
MLL
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |