De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
GRA
0 - 0
TWE
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1992 |
FOR
3 - 1
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
36%
28%
35%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRO
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
RKC
2 - 2
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1992 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
17%
26%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 1
FEY
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |