De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
GRA
3 - 0
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
HFC
6 - 3
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 0
AZA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 0
GRA
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
AJA
4 - 1
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
GAE
2 - 2
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
AJA
5 - 2
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
25%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |