GP3 A vs Peregrinos A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GP3 A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FPI
4 - 0
GP3
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GP3
2 - 4
ARA
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GP3
2 - 3
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
GP3
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GP3
3 - 3
APS
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peregrinos A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VSE
6 - 6
PER
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
FPI
35%
23%
43%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 1
PER
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
PER
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
BAR
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |