Goytre AFC vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TAF
1 - 5
GOY
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GOY
3 - 4
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
POR
1 - 4
GOY
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GOY
1 - 3
GOY
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GOY
2 - 2
RIS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
6 - 1
RIS
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
CWM
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
LID
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |