Carioca 2 Round 4

Goytacaz vs Barra Mansa analysis

Goytacaz Barra Mansa
51 ELO 36
-4.5% Tilt -7%
23934º General ELO ranking 23931º
709º Country ELO ranking 706º
ELO win probability
70%
Goytacaz
18.9%
Draw
11.1%
Barra Mansa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
Goytacaz
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
Barra Mansa
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Goytacaz
-8%
+8%
Barra Mansa

ELO progression

Goytacaz
Barra Mansa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Goytacaz
Goytacaz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2014
OLA
Olaria
1 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
38%
28%
34%
52 52 0 0
12 Feb. 2014
GOY
Goytacaz
2 - 1
Quissamã
QUI
62%
22%
16%
52 43 9 0
08 Feb. 2014
GRE
Grêmio Mangaratibense
1 - 1
Goytacaz
GOY
14%
21%
65%
52 16 36 0
20 Oct. 2013
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 1
Goytacaz
GOY
55%
23%
22%
52 56 4 0
17 Oct. 2013
GOY
Goytacaz
2 - 0
Boavista SC
BOA
22%
23%
55%
51 62 11 +1

Matches

Barra Mansa
Barra Mansa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2014
BAR
Barra Mansa
3 - 1
Americano
AME
42%
26%
33%
34 36 2 0
08 Feb. 2014
BAR
Barra Mansa
0 - 1
São João da Barra
SAO
35%
25%
41%
35 43 8 -1
08 Jun. 2013
AME
Americano
1 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
61%
21%
18%
34 35 1 +1
01 Jun. 2013
BAR
Barra Mansa
0 - 3
Cabofriense
CAB
32%
25%
43%
36 44 8 -2
25 May. 2013
MES
Mesquita FC
0 - 3
Barra Mansa
BAR
26%
25%
49%
35 27 8 +1