Goya vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AAO
3 - 1
CDG
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CDG
1 - 0
PIQ
21%
23%
55%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ROB
3 - 3
CDG
85%
9%
6%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CDG
0 - 4
ALU
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CDG
3 - 0
AAO
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LUL
2 - 2
GRI
22%
25%
53%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CDM
3 - 0
LUL
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LUL
2 - 5
MOS
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 1
LUL
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LUL
0 - 0
MOB
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |