Goya vs Aviación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
PVA
2 - 1
CDG
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADA
2 - 2
CDG
15%
18%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CDG
2 - 1
IVA
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALZ
0 - 0
CDG
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDG
3 - 1
ENO
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
AVC
1 - 9
BVC
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AVC
0 - 8
LAM
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GIG
4 - 0
AVC
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AVC
0 - 4
RVI
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LMA
10 - 1
AVC
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |