Gouvy vs Sartoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
14º
4º
48
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OPP
3 - 2
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GOU
0 - 2
RUS
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MES
3 - 1
GOU
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
GOU
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 7
RIC
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sartoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 2
VAU
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAR
28%
23%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 0
LAR
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
5 - 0
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AUB
0 - 3
SAR
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |