Gouveia vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOU
3 - 4
GOU
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GOU
0 - 4
BMA
11%
18%
72%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GOU
1 - 0
ADN
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAM
3 - 1
GOU
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
TIR
3 - 0
GOU
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RDA
0 - 0
LUS
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RDA
3 - 2
TOU
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
RDA
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RDA
0 - 2
GAF
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
RDA
0 - 2
POR
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | 0 |