Gottne vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
11º
7º
10
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
86.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 18 |
7º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 15 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
91% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gottne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UAK
4 - 1
GIF
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
OST
3 - 1
GIF
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TAF
1 - 0
GIF
19%
21%
60%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GIF
0 - 0
KFF
70%
16%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FIF
0 - 3
GIF
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
LUC
1 - 2
UAK
38%
21%
42%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
OST
4 - 1
LUC
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 1
FIF
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BER
3 - 2
LUC
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 4
SKE
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |