Gottne vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
13º
8º
22
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gottne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GIF
2 - 3
THO
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
GIF
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IFA
1 - 3
GIF
26%
21%
53%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GIF
1 - 2
THO
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
5 - 2
GIF
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 2
BOD
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UAK
4 - 0
LUC
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LUC
0 - 6
NOR
3%
11%
86%
|
14 | 81 | 67 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LUC
5 - 3
OST
9%
14%
78%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +5 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 3
OST
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |