Gosport Borough vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HEN
2 - 1
GOS
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
TAU
3 - 2
GOS
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
GOS
0 - 1
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BLA
0 - 0
GOS
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
GOS
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MER
2 - 0
FAR
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
HAR
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 2
MER
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
MER
2 - 1
YAT
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MER
0 - 2
WAL
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |