ND Gorica vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 2
GOR
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 0
GOR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
GOR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GOR
1 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NKN
1 - 2
FCK
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
NKN
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NKN
0 - 6
OLI
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 0
NKN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NKN
0 - 3
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |