ND Gorica vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 1
GOR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
GOR
4 - 0
NKD
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NKN
2 - 4
GOR
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
GOR
5 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
GOR
0 - 0
RUD
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CEL
4 - 2
RUD
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NKN
0 - 0
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
FCK
2 - 0
CEL
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 0
NKP
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |