Gor Mahia vs KCB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
63
1º
5º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
80% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gor Mahia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 0
BAN
47%
28%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
KAS
1 - 1
GOR
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 2
GOR
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 0
NZO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
TLT
1 - 2
GOR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KCB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
KCB
1 - 2
TUS
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 2
KCB
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KCB
1 - 2
NZO
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
KCB
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KCB
0 - 1
KAK
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |