Goole vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
GOO
2 - 1
RAI
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 1
GOO
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
GOO
1 - 1
SHE
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEE
2 - 2
GOO
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
GOO
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
SHE
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 1
KID
8%
17%
75%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 0
QUO
16%
24%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
SHE
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 2
SHE
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |