Goole vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
GOO
2 - 1
WAR
73%
16%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 3
GOO
14%
23%
63%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GOO
1 - 0
NAN
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
GOO
39%
26%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
GOO
2 - 2
STO
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
GRE
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 4
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 1
QUO
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |