Gondomar vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
7º
7º
25
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 2
GON
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GON
3 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 0
GON
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GON
1 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
GON
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
SAL
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
ALP
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |