Gondomar vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GON
2 - 2
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
2 - 0
GON
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GON
1 - 3
VIZ
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GON
2 - 0
VIL
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
GON
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
FAF
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 0
PED
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
FAF
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
FAF
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 1
ANA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |