Gondomar vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
3º
59
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
REB
0 - 0
GON
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GON
1 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
GON
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GON
1 - 0
ODO
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 0
GON
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
BMA
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
AMA
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VSC
1 - 1
AMA
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 0
REB
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
AMA
21%
28%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |